The 2016 Conference took place on September 26-27 at The Queen’s College, Oxford, UK
See the special issue of the journal Climatic Change featuring papers from the conference
| Monday, 26 September | |
| 8:00–8:45 | Registration |
| 8:45–11:00 | Welcome Michael Lazarus and Harro van Asselt, Stockholm Environment Institute |
| 1. Supply-side climate policy: Setting the stage Moderator: Michael Lazarus, Stockholm Environment Institute Keynote: Paul Ekins, Institute for Sustainable Resources, University College London Investment risk in an age of ‘unburnable’ fossil fuels Panel: • Frank Jotzo, Australian National University The case for coal supply-side policy: A coal tax • Richard Denniss, The Australia Institute Will the ugly duckling become a beautiful swan or a dead duck? The political and economic case for a global moratorium on building new coal mines • María Rosa Murmis, Universidad Andina Simón Bolívar Unburnable carbon and biodiversity: A global fund for keeping fossil fuels in the ground in biodiversity hotspots of developing countries • Jehan Sauvage, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development A question of balance: The world trading system and fossil fuels • Sivan Kartha, Stockholm Environment Institute Whose carbon is ‘burnable’? Equity considerations in the allocation of a ‘right to extract’ | |
| 11:00–11:20 | Coffee |
| 11:20–12:30 | |
| Parallel sessions | |
| 2. Strategies and options for fossil fuel producers in a warming world Moderator: Mark Jaccard, Simon Fraser University Panel: • Jenny Lieu, Science Policy Research Unit, University of Sussex, and Ashim Paun, HBSC plc Divestment and stranded fossil fuel assets: The return characteristics of divested index portfolios • Lucas Kruitwagen, Smith School of Enterprise and the Environment, University of Oxford Future pathways to 1.5°C/2°C-compatible oil and gas majors: Survey of energy outlooks and key uncertainties • Richard Heede, Climate Accountability Institute, and Paul Griffin, CDP Aligning an oil and gas company’s reserves and future emissions with a 2°C science-based target: A preliminary study of an oil and gas major | |
| 3. What does deep decarbonization mean for fossil fuels? Moderator: Henri Waisman, Institute For Sustainable Development and International Relations Panel: • Steve Pye, Energy Institute, University College London The implications of stringent national decarbonization pathways on global energy trade flows: A multi-scale analysis • Chris Bataille, Institute For Sustainable Development and International Relations Resilient and adaptive long-term decarbonization GHG policy for a major fossil fuel producer – the case of Alberta • Mark Fulton, Energy Transition Advisors Asian coal at the pivotal point | |
| 12:30–13:45 | Lunch |
| 13:45–14:45 | 4. Climate responsibilities, risks, and performance of fossil fuel producers Moderator: Peter Frumhoff, Union of Concerned Scientists Panel: • Kathy Mulvey, Union of Concerned Scientists • Myles Allen, Oxford Martin Net Zero Carbon Investment Initiative • Eniko Horvath, Business and Human Rights Resource Centre |
| 14:45–16:15 | |
| Parallel sessions | |
| 5. Reforming fossil fuel production subsidies Moderator: Laura Merrill, International Institute for Sustainable Development Panel: • Ivetta Gerasimchuk, International Institute for Sustainable Development Unlocking supply and locking in carbon: The paradox of determining which fossil fuel subsidies are the worst for the climate • Kennedy Mbeva, African Centre for Technology Studies Explaining variation in fossil fuel subsidy reforms between countries • Zuelclady Araujo Gutiérrez, Environment Ministry, Peru Measuring the impacts of eliminating subsidies and assigning taxes to energy products in Mexico through a general equilibrium model • Doug Koplow, Earth Track Fossil fuel subsidy reform in the United States: Impediments and opportunities | |
| 6. The role of norms and legal strategies in addressing fossil fuel supply Moderator: Harro van Asselt, Stockholm Environment Institute Panel: • Mathieu Blondeel, Ghent Institute for International Studies, Ghent University Towards a global coal mining moratorium? A comparative analysis of coal mining policies in the U.S., China, India, Indonesia and Australia • Fergus Green, London School of Economics and Political Science Anti-fossil fuel norms: A proposal for Fossil Fuel Free Zones • Naomi Ages, Greenpeace USA New allies, new avenues: Legal strategies for accelerating the fossil fuel phase-out • Claire Stockwell, Centre for Socio-Legal Studies, University of Oxford Causation in Australian climate litigation • Keith Benes, Center on Global Energy Policy, Columbia University Sending a signal to the market: Assessing how the Paris Agreement impacts perceptions of risk of investing in fossil and clean energy projects | |
| 16:15–16:45 | Coffee |
| 16:45–18:15 | 7. Equity and just transitions Moderator: Sivan Kartha, Stockholm Environment Institute Panel: • Navroz Dubash, Centre for Policy Research • Nnimmo Bassey, Health of Mother Earth Foundation, Nigeria • Samantha Smith, Just Transition Centre • Simon Caney, University of Oxford • Greg Muttitt, Oil Change International |
| 18:15–19:30 | Reception at Queen’s College |
| 19:30–21:30 | Dinner at Queen’s College |
| Tuesday, 27 September | |
| 9:00–10:00 | 8. Fossil fuel production pathways in a low-carbon world Moderator: Shelagh Whitley, Overseas Development Institute Speakers: • Christophe McGlade, International Energy Agency Disentangling the risks of fossil fuel asset stranding • Alasdair Hamblin, GE Oil & Gas Balancing investment risk in oil and gas |
| 10:00–11:15 | 9. Is a fossil fuels-led growth path still a viable choice for low-income countries? Moderator: Jon Marks, Cross-Border Information Panel: • Glada Lahn, Chatham House • Siân Bradley, Chatham House • Ekpen Omonbude, Commonwealth Secretariat • Nicola Barnfather, UK Department for International Development • Petter Stigset, Norwegian Agency for Development Cooperation |
| 11:15–11:30 | Coffee |
| 11:30–13:00 | |
| Parallel sessions | |
| 10. Challenges for the Norwegian oil industry Moderator: Guri Bang, Centre for International Climate and Environmental Research – Oslo Panel: • Arne Eik, Statoil • Ragnhild Freng Dale, Scott Polar Research Institute, University of Cambridge • Bård Lahn, Centre for International Climate and Environmental Research – Oslo • Thina Saltvedt, Nordea Markets, Nordea Bank ASA | |
| 11. Aligning coal development and climate change mitigation goals Moderator: Harald Winkler, Energy Research Centre, University of Cape Town Panel: • Jan Steckel, Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change Climate policy, coal and the power of relative prices • Claudia Strambo, Stockholm Environment Institute Political economy of coal extraction in Colombia: Challenges and opportunities for supply-side mitigation strategies • Liese Dart, The Wilderness Society Energy development and greenhouse gas emissions on federal lands • Peter Erickson, Stockholm Environment Institute Impact of phasing out U.S. fossil fuel leases on CO2 emissions and the 2°C goal • Hongxia Duan, Global Subsidies Initiative, International Institute for Sustainable Development Windows of opportunity: Coal phase-out in China | |
| 13:00–14:30 | Lunch |
| 14:30–16:00 | |
| Parallel sessions | |
| 12. Aligning oil development and climate change mitigation goals Moderator: Roberto Schaeffer, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro Panel: • Mark Jaccard, Simon Fraser University Fossil fuel project approvals and climate commitments: Modelling tools for connecting the dots • Katya Pérez Guzmán, Facultad Latinoamericana de Ciencias Sociales, Mexico The intertwining and disparities between the political economy of oil supply and climate change mitigation policies: The cases of Mexico and Colombia (2000–2015) • Henrik Wachtmeister, Uppsala University Investment and production dynamics of conventional and unconventional oil: Implications for climate strategies • Tzeporah Berman, York University and Alberta Government ‘Greener oil’ or managed decline? A case study of the Alberta Climate Plan | |
| 13. Managing coal transitions Moderator: Ben Caldecott, Smith School of Enterprise and the Environment, University of Oxford Panel: • Jesse Burton, Energy Research Centre, University of Cape Town The emission implications of South Africa’s elite transition • Roman Mendelevitch, German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin) Testing supply-side climate policies for the global steam coal market: Can they curb coal consumption? • Hanna Brauers, German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin) Organizing a German coal phase-out • Bettina Wittneben, Climactio (Climate-KIC) From coal levy to pay-the-polluter principle: Germany’s policy innovation to constrain lignite production | |
| 16:00–16:30 | Coffee |
| 16:30–17:30 | 14. Closing: Directions for research & policy Moderator: Marion Davis, Stockholm Environment Institute Panel: • Tzeporah Berman, York University and Alberta Government • Frank Convery, Environmental Defense Fund • Navroz Dubash, Centre for Policy Research • Claudia Strambo, Stockholm Environment Institute • Fernando Tudela Abad, Centro del Cambio Global y la Sustentabilidad en el Sureste |